BEIJING, nge-16 kaJulayi 2025 – Imarike ye-dichloromethane (DCM) yaseTshayina ifumene ukuhla okukhulu kwisiqingatha sokuqala sowama-2025, amaxabiso ehla aye kwinqanaba eliphantsi leminyaka emihlanu, ngokutsho kohlalutyo lweshishini. Ukunikezelwa ngokugqithisileyo okuqhubekayo, okuqhutywa kukwanda kwamandla amatsha kunye nokungafunwa kakuhle, kuchaze imeko yemarike.
Uphuhliso oluPhambili lwe-H1 2025:
Ukuwa kweXabiso: Ixabiso eliqhelekileyo lentengiselwano enkulu eShandong lehle laya kwi-2,338 RMB/ton ngomhla wama-30 kuJuni, lehla nge-0.64% unyaka nonyaka (YoY). Amaxabiso afikelele kwi-2,820 RMB/ton ekuqaleni kukaJanuwari kodwa ehla aya kutsho kwi-1,980 RMB/ton ekuqaleni kukaMeyi - uluhlu lokuguquguquka lwe-840 RMB/ton, olubanzi kakhulu kunowama-2024.
Ubonelelo Olugqithisileyo Luyaqina: Umthamo omtsha, ingakumbi isityalo se-methane chloride esiziitoni ezingama-200,000 ngonyaka eHengyang ukususela ngo-Epreli, unyuse imveliso iyonke ye-DCM ukuya kwi-855,700 yeetoni (inyuke nge-19.36% YoY). Amanani aphezulu okusebenza kushishino (77-80%) kunye nokwanda kwemveliso ye-DCM ukuze kulungiswe ilahleko kwimveliso edibeneyo ye-Chloroform kwenze uxinzelelo lobonelelo lwaba lubi ngakumbi.
Ukukhula kweMfuno kuyehla: Nangona i-refrigerant engundoqo ye-R32 esezantsi iqhube kakuhle (iqhutywa zii-quota zemveliso kunye nemfuno enamandla ye-air-conditioning phantsi kwezibonelelo zikarhulumente), imfuno ye-solvent yendabuko yahlala ibuthathaka. Ukuhla koqoqosho lwehlabathi, uxinzelelo lwezorhwebo phakathi kwe-Sino-US, kunye nokutshintshwa kwe-ethylene dichloride (EDC) engabizi kakhulu kuye kwanciphisa imfuno. Ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kukhule nge-31.86% ukuya kwi-113,000 yeetoni, okubonelela ngoncedo oluthile kodwa alwanelanga ukulinganisela imakethi.
Inzuzo Iphezulu Kodwa Iyancipha: Nangona amaxabiso e-DCM kunye ne-Chloroform ehla, inzuzo ephakathi kushishino ifikelele kwi-694 RMB/ton (inyuke nge-112.23% YoY), ixhaswa ziindleko eziphantsi kakhulu zezinto eziluhlaza (i-chlorine engamanzi i-avareji ye--168 RMB/ton). Nangona kunjalo, inzuzo yehla kakhulu emva kukaMeyi, yehla ngaphantsi kwe-100 RMB/ton ngoJuni.
Imbonakalo ye-H2 2025: Uxinzelelo oluqhubekayo kunye namaxabiso aphantsi
Ubonelelo Oluza Kukhula Ngakumbi: Kulindeleke amandla amatsha abalulekileyo: iShandong Yonghao kunye neTai (iitoni ezili-100,000 ngonyaka kwikota yesi-3), iChongqing Jialihe (iitoni ezingama-50,000 ngonyaka ekupheleni konyaka), kunye nokuqaliswa kwakhona kweDongying Jinmao Aluminium (iitoni ezili-120,000 ngonyaka). Umthamo opheleleyo we-methane chloride osebenzayo unokufikelela kwi-4.37 yezigidi zeetoni ngonyaka.
Imiqobo yemfuno: Imfuno ye-R32 kulindeleke ukuba ithambe emva kwe-H1 enamandla. Imfuno yesiqhelo yesinyibilikisi ayiniki themba lingako. Ukhuphiswano oluvela kwi-EDC enexabiso eliphantsi luya kuqhubeka.
Inkxaso yeNdleko iNcinci: Amaxabiso e-chlorine engamanzi aqikelelwa ukuba aza kuhlala engalunganga kwaye ebuthathaka, nto leyo enika uxinzelelo oluncinci lweendleko, kodwa mhlawumbi inika umgangatho wamaxabiso e-DCM.
Uqikelelo lwamaxabiso: Ubuninzi bezinto ezifunekayo azinakuncipha. Amaxabiso e-DCM kulindeleke ukuba ahlale exhomekeke kumanqanaba aphantsi kulo lonke i-H2, kwaye anokuthi abe phantsi ngexesha lonyaka ngoJulayi aze abe phezulu ngoSeptemba.
Isiphelo: Imakethi yaseTshayina iDCM ijongene noxinzelelo oluqhubekayo ngo-2025. Ngelixa i-H1 ibone imveliso kunye nenzuzo ebalaseleyo nangona amaxabiso ehla, umbono we-H2 ubonisa ukukhula okugqithisileyo okuqhubekayo kunye nemfuno engaguqukiyo, nto leyo ethintela amaxabiso kumanqanaba aphantsi ngokwembali. Iimarike zokuthumela ngaphandle zihlala ziyindawo ebalulekileyo yokukhupha abavelisi basekhaya.
Ixesha leposi: Julayi-16-2025